Title: Predicting Factors of Pancreatic Infection in Acute Necrotizing Pancreatitis: A Report of 119 Cases

Authors: Mohamed Ben Mabrouk, Bassem Nasr, Waad Farhat, Mohamed Ben Rejeb, Malek Barka, Said Nakhli, Mohamed Azzaza, Fethia Harrabi, Walid Naija, Ali Ben Ali

 DOI:  http://dx.doi.org/10.18535/jmscr/v3i10.53

Abstract

Introduction: acute Necrotizing pancreatitis (ANP) represents the severe form of human acute pancreatitis (15% of cases). Infection of pancreatic necrosis occurs in 40– 70 % of patients with ANP and have mortality rate about 80% of cases. Therefore, early prediction and diagnosis of infection in ANP are extremely important. So we aimed to identify the risk factors for predicting pancreatic infection in patients with ANP.

Methods: One hundred and nineteen patients with ANP were included and divided into two groups based on the presence or absence of pancreatic infection. Demographic and clinical characteristics, laboratory examination results, complications and treatment modalities of these patients were collected from their medical records. Variables were initially screened by univariate analysis and those with statistical significance were then filtered by multivariate analysis to determine the independent risk factors for pancreatic infection in ANP.

Results: Patients having ANP with pancreatic infection were more obese and had dyslipidemia more than patients without pancreatic infection. In addition; they had lower partial pressure of arterial CO2, as well as a higher computed tomography severity index (CTSI) and Ranson’s score than those without pancreatic infection, while their lactate dehydrogenases and CRP levels, hematocrit and glycaemia were much higher. Pancreatic infection also occurred more commonly in patients receiving delayed enteral nutrition than in those who received early enteral nutrition. Multivariate analyses revealed that only high CTSI was independent risk factor for pancreatic infection in ANP.

Conclusion: many variables were initially identify by univariate analysis as predicting factors of necrosis infection but only high CTSI was independent risk factor. 

Keywords:Acute pancreatitis- infection – predictive factor- prognostic

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Corresponding Author

Mohamed Ben Mabrouk

Department of General and Digestive Surgery

Sahloul Hospital, Sousse, Tunisia